Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 1.528276 1.921781 2.457313 3.275741 4.571370 6.710091 10.990263
2025-10-12 1.078630 1.499132 2.176371 3.478612 6.370826 14.517457 62.700004
2025-10-19 0.835935 1.226472 1.918795 3.459920 7.881320 29.479047 5148.930401
2025-10-26 0.680257 1.031178 1.691541 3.312654 8.963050 58.126662 NaN
2025-11-02 0.594589 0.929360 1.596556 3.406182 11.292720 204.794881 NaN
2025-11-09 0.537770 0.864280 1.550707 3.604723 15.123519 9407.697362 NaN
2025-11-16 0.482603 0.789673 1.458299 3.599409 18.234714 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.431400 0.713417 1.340513 3.434423 19.804741 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.404634 0.681945 1.322435 3.635400 27.636937 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.375294 0.640205 1.267303 3.654671 34.529450 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.345629 0.593636 1.188991 3.526248 38.365986 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.322337 0.557960 1.132745 3.471951 45.309316 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.314211 0.555040 1.167978 3.921449 95.716855 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.301230 0.539483 1.163859 4.176773 193.971639 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.284026 0.512063 1.118251 4.150649 296.813515 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.265742 0.480241 1.053369 3.958262 340.571936 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.254792 0.464546 1.035855 4.080109 888.437008 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.246826 0.455022 1.035977 4.340315 17222.778350 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.235729 0.436783 1.004148 4.333323 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.222892 0.413222 0.950969 4.116993 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.217149 0.406547 0.953477 4.380695 NaN NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.209008 0.393172 0.930696 4.406087 NaN NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.199419 0.375450 0.890213 4.237225 NaN NaN NaN